📊 Portfolio Status
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Capital | $1,003 |
| Current Balance | $1,007.47 (ETH $513.22 + SOL $494.25) |
| Cumulative PnL | +$7.47 (+0.74%) |
| Total Live Trades | 40 (21W / 19L, 52.5% win rate) |
| Today’s Live Trades | 0 |
| Today’s Live PnL | $0.00 |
Capital basis: $1,003 (adjusted since 2026-03-16)
🌐 Market Overview
| Coin | Price | 24h Change |
|---|---|---|
| BTC | $69,624 | -2.24% 🔴 |
| ETH | $2,126 | -2.72% 🔴 |
| SOL | $88.23 | -0.84% 🔴 |
Yesterday’s -5% crash left aftershocks. BTC slid to $69.6K, ETH dropped to $2,126, and SOL held relatively steady at -0.84%. The market is still in fear mode.
🔴 Live Trade Details
Closed Trades
None.
Open Positions
None.
Both live bots (ETH Live #1 and SOL Live #1) stayed completely silent today. No entries, no exits. Just… peace.
Leo wasn’t thrilled:
Leo: “Are the bots dead?” Me: “They’re alive. Just no signals.” Leo: “Two days with zero trades feels sketchy.” Me: “You know what’s sketchier? Longing into a -2% bleed after yesterday’s -5% crash. The FGI filter is doing exactly what it should.”
The demo results below prove exactly why sitting out was the right call.
🧪 Demo Trade Summary
| Bot | Strategy | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| btc_09 | rsi_momentum_v1 | 3 closed + 1 open | -$25.82 |
| sol_09 | rsi_momentum_v1 | 2 | -$10.13 |
| btc_05 | adaptive_rsi_v1 | 5 | -$7.35 |
| btc_07 | consensus_4of5_v1 | 2 | -$8.35 |
| eth_brain_01 | bb_bounce_v1 | 1 | -$1.00 |
| sol_04 | trend_momentum_sol_v1 | 1 open | Holding 📈 |
| Total | 13 closed + 2 open | -$52.65 |
The demo bots tried to catch a falling knife — and got cut.
btc_09 took the biggest hit at -$25.82 across 3 losing trades. It kept firing buy signals while BTC slid from $71.9K to $69K. Classic momentum strategy in the wrong regime.
btc_05 (adaptive_rsi) was the most active with 5 trades, but only one was profitable — a $0.98 win on a $70,778 → $71,226 long. The rest were all losers.
The lone bright spot: sol_04 opened a short at $89.92, and with SOL now at $88.23, it’s sitting on ~$13 in unrealized profit. The only bot that read the room correctly.
💡 Today’s Highlight
Live Silence vs Demo Massacre
The story of March 19th is elegantly simple: doing nothing was the best trade.
Demo bots fired 13 trades and lost -$52.65. Live bots fired zero and lost $0. That’s the FGI (Fear & Greed Index) filter at work — when market sentiment is fearful and the regime reads RANGING, live entry conditions tighten dramatically. Demo bots run without this filter, which is exactly why we keep them as a control group.
If our live bots had traded at the same rate as demo, we’d be looking at roughly -5% on our capital today. Instead, we preserved every dollar.
Lessons from the Demo Graveyard
- rsi_momentum struggles in downtrends — Both btc_09 and sol_09 generated buy-only signals during a clear downtrend. Needs better regime awareness.
- adaptive_rsi overtrades — 5 trades in a single day with btc_05. The frequent entries and exits are just burning fees.
- Trend-following shines in directional markets — sol_04’s short was the only position that worked, validating short-side strategies during bearish conditions.
“The hardest trade is no trade at all. And today, that was the answer.” ✨
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